PuckSleuth
Nikolas Matinpalo33

Ottawa Senators · Defense · Shoots R

Nikolas Matinpalo

Age 28 · 6'3" · 213 lb · Born in Espoo, FIN

Cap hit

$875K

0.8% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$2.218M

vs. $3.093M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

18:48

PP 0:00 · PK 4:08

Plus/minus

0

Hits

1

Blocks 1

PIM

0

Game Score

+0.01

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 3
@ TOR · W 3-2
0011118:480:004:08—0200+0.01
Apr 25
vs CAR · L 4-2
0011316:010:114:42—0000-0.01
Apr 23
vs CAR · L 2-1
0001319:210:004:02—010+1+0.31
Apr 20
@ CAR · OTL 3-2
0000131:030:000:30—010+1+0.06
Apr 18
@ CAR · L 2-0
0001017:080:004:13—000-1-0.30

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 693 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%51.9%

71st percentile

Relative xGF%-4.3

17th percentile

HDCF%61.6%

96th percentile

CF%45.7%

17th percentile

Relative CF%-9.3

2nd percentile

FF%45.5%

15th percentile

GF%44.0%

24th percentile

CF/6049.6

13th percentile

CA/6059.0

42nd percentile

ixG/600.16

30th percentile

Goals above expected-1.8

13th percentile

IPP13.6%

4th percentile

PDO98.7

29th percentile

OZS%46.3%

47th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive skating defenseman

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Matinpalo is a quick, physically engaged defender who works hard to force turnovers and disrupt plays in the offensive zone. He moves the puck reliably but rarely initiates offense, fitting best as a steady third-pair contributor.

SpeedyForecheckingLimited offense
Shooting volume
27
Playmaking
34
Zone entries(est.)
64
Forechecking
86
Physicality
61
Defensive impact
56
Puck management
65
Speed
89

Where he shoots from

Slot 12% · Mid-range 27% · Perimeter 62%(60 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Elite 89th percentile speed allows quick gap closes and transition play
  • Strong 86th percentile forechecking effort creates turnovers and offensive chances
  • Solid 65th percentile puck management keeps plays moving through the neutral zone

Watch-outs

  • Just 34th percentile playmaking limits his ability to create scoring chances
  • Very low 27th percentile shooting volume means minimal direct offensive threat
  • Moderate 56th percentile defensive impact suggests room to tighten coverage consistency

Similar style: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Martin Fehérváry (WSH)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%
2024-25Ottawa Senators6000+12000030.013:04—
2025-26Ottawa Senators4000+12000010.020:53—
Career2 seasons10000+24000040.016:12—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

No news about him in the last 30 days.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.03 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.15 per game

2025-26 · 50 GP

Season total +7.7, or +0.15 per game.

Scoring
+3.1
Shooting
+2.8
5-on-5 goals
-0.9
Defense
+0.9
Penalty kill
-0.2
Physical play
+3.7
Puck battles
-1.4
Penalties
-0.4

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
23.1 mph
95th pct
20+ mph bursts
44
Hardest shot
92.8 mph
65th pct
Distance
105.9 mi
OZ time
40.5%
32nd pct
DZ time
42.2%

Usage

Last game: @ TOR, Oct 3

Pair 2 with Tyler Kleven (6:42 together at 5-on-5)

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 28: 95% of peak

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 28, defensemen typically produce 95% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

1 season left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27OTT$875K0.8%

UFA after 2026-27. $875K in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).