PuckSleuth
Justin Hryckowian49

Dallas Stars · Center · Shoots L

Justin Hryckowian

Age 25 · 5'11" · 198 lb · Born in L'Ile-Bizard, CAN

Cap hit

$950K

0.9% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$2.553M

vs. $3.503M market estimate

Contract details from our records; public announcement not yet matched

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

17:12

PP 3:05 · PK 1:05

xGF%

66.1

5v5, +14.3 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.09

per game, goals above average

Faceoff %

—

8 W · 0 L

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 0 · Hits 2

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 2
vs STL · L 4-0
0012017:123:051:058-08020-1-0.09
Apr 30
@ MIN · L 5-2
0046215:350:021:315-1043000-0.25
Apr 28
vs MIN · L 4-2
0001014:280:050:003-13310-1-0.12
Apr 25
@ MIN · OTL 3-2
0002220:100:000:256-15000-1-0.04
Apr 22
@ MIN · W 4-3
0005119:151:420:544-45000-1-0.40

GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 885 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%51.8%

70th percentile

Relative xGF%+0.5

55th percentile

HDCF%56.3%

83rd percentile

CF%48.1%

38th percentile

Relative CF%+0.8

61st percentile

FF%49.3%

50th percentile

GF%53.6%

70th percentile

CF/6047.4

8th percentile

CA/6051.1

88th percentile

ixG/600.87

41st percentile

Goals above expected+1.2

72nd percentile

IPP67.6%

62nd percentile

PDO100.5

61st percentile

OZS%43.0%

23rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive-minded puck handler

Trait percentiles vs. NHL centers · 2025-26

Hryckowian is a stay-at-home center who excels at puck management and defensive responsibility while generating offense through aggressive forechecking and rush chances. He lacks the shot volume and speed to consistently finish plays, relying on efficiency and positioning rather than high-end offensive skill.

Defensive centerPuck handlerForechecking grind
Shooting volume
20
Playmaking
41
Zone entries(est.)
72
Forechecking
71
Physicality
69
Defensive impact
76
Puck management
99
Speed
38

Where he shoots from

Slot 64% · Mid-range 28% · Perimeter 8%(126 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Exceptional puck management ranks 99th among NHL centers
  • Strong defensive impact and forechecking effort both in top 30 percentile
  • Gets high-danger chances near the net, 64% of shots from slot

Watch-outs

  • Shooting volume in 20th percentile limits offensive upside
  • Speed ranks only 38th among centers, affecting transition play
  • Playmaking at 41st percentile suggests limited creative passing ability

Similar style: Fraser Minten (BOS), Adam Lowry (WPG)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 81 GP · goals above average

Season total +0.6 goals, or +0.01 per game.

Even strength offense
-0.7
Even strength defense
+1.2
Power play
-0.2
Penalty kill
+0.4
Finishing
+1.2
Playmaking
-1.8
Penalties
+0.2
Faceoffs
+0.3

Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2024-25Dallas Stars5011+10000030.07:5360.0+0.04
2025-26Dallas Stars81141630+14325018316.913:1855.1+0.01
2026-27Dallas Stars200000000020.015:5186.7-0.09
Career3 seasons88141731+24325018815.913:03—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Usage

Last game: vs STL, Oct 2

Line 1 with Mikko Rantanen and Wyatt Johnston (7:27 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.02 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.2 mph
46th pct
20+ mph bursts
76
Hardest shot
85.1 mph
52nd pct
Distance
169.2 mi
OZ time
41.1%
36th pct
DZ time
41.2%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 25, forwards typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 26, when the typical level is 98%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27DAL$950K0.9%
2027-28DAL$950K0.8%

UFA after 2027-28. $1.9M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).