PuckSleuth
Jacob Markstrom25

Florida Panthers · Goalie · Catches L

Jacob Markstrom

Age 36 · 6'6" · 207 lb · Born in Gavle, SWE

Cap hit

$6M

5.8% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

Surplus value

−$3.502M

vs. $2.498M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

1 starts

Record

1-0-0

SV%

1.000

GAA

0.00

Shots against

15

GSAx

+2.4

goals saved above expected

Game Score

+2.43

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Sep 29@ CAR · W 1-0W151501.00064:552.43+2.435/5+2.43
Apr 7vs PHI · L 5-1L19154.78958:041.54-2.461/2-2.46
Apr 5@ MTL · W 3-0W181801.00060:002.79+2.794/4+2.79
Mar 31@ NYR · L 4-1L23194.82660:003.70-0.300/3-0.30
Mar 28@ CAR · L 5-2L33294.87958:093.78-0.225/5-0.22

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 44 GP · 2,544 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.883

20th percentile

GSAx-15.1

7th percentile

GSAx/60-0.36

13th percentile

HDSV%.669

19th percentile

HD GSAx-3.3

27th percentile

5v5 GSAx-13.0

10th percentile

EV SV%.891

24th percentile

Quality start %39.5%

13th percentile

Really bad start %30.2%

23rd percentile

xGA/602.71

29th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleStruggling workhorse

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Markstrom is a regular starter whose results sit well below the NHL norm, with weak routine saves, 5-on-5 saves and consistency. His one clear bright spot is rebound control, which ranks well above most goalies.

Rebound controlHeavy starterBelow-par savesInconsistentShorthanded struggles
High-danger saves
33
Routine saves
17
Rebound control
74
5-on-5 saves
16
PK saves
30
Consistency
13
Workload
64

Strengths

  • Rebound control sits at the 74th percentile, so few quick follow-up shots.
  • Starter-level usage at the 64th percentile, with 43 starts in 44 games.

Watch-outs

  • Quality starts in only 40% of starts, 13th percentile for consistency.
  • Routine saves rank 17th percentile, part of -15.1 goals saved above expected.
  • 5-on-5 saves sit at the 16th percentile, and save % is just 0.883.

Similar style: Ville Husso (ANA), Calvin Pickard (MIN)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Where his Game Score comes from

2026-27 · 1 GP

Season total +2.4, or +2.43 per game.

Goaltending
+2.4

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGAGSAx
2010-11Florida Panthers10010.8573.010142—
2011-12Florida Panthers76241.9232.66022217—
2012-13Florida Panthers23238141.9013.22068568—
2013-14Florida Panthers129163.8743.52028536—
2013-14Vancouver Canucks43120.8683.0107610—
2014-15Vancouver Canucks32110.8793.090334—
2015-16Vancouver Canucks333013144.9152.73098884—
2016-17Vancouver Canucks262310113.9102.63069262—
2017-18Vancouver Canucks605723267.9122.7121745154—
2018-19Vancouver Canucks606028239.9122.7711896166—
2019-20Vancouver Canucks434323164.9182.7521420117—
2020-21Calgary Flames434322192.9042.6831161111—
2021-22Calgary Flames636337159.9222.2291754137—
2022-23Calgary Flames5958232112.8922.9211542166-5.7
2023-24Calgary Flames484823232.9052.7821379131+14.6
2024-25New Jersey Devils494926166.9002.5041214121-0.1
2025-26New Jersey Devils444323191.8833.0711113130-15.1
2026-27Florida Panthers111001.0000.001150+2.4
Career17 seasons57956126523164.9072.7326162341516

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GSAx (goals saved above expected) is ours, from our expected goals model.

Usage

Last game: @ SJS, Oct 1

Did not start last game (Akira Schmid did).

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.24 per game over these 10.

Age curve

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 36, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 37, when the typical level is 99%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27FLA$6M5.8%
2027-28FLA$6M5.3%

UFA after 2027-28. M-NTC. $12M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).