PuckSleuth
Jacob Markstrom25

Florida Panthers · Goalie · Catches L

Jacob Markstrom

Age 36 · 6'6" · 207 lb · Born in Gavle, SWE

Cap hit

$6M

5.8% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

Surplus value

−$3.502M

vs. $2.498M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

1 starts

Record

1-0-0

SV%

1.000

GAA

0.00

Shots against

15

GSAx

+2.4

goals saved above expected

Game Score

+2.43

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Sep 29@ CAR · W 1-0W151501.00064:552.43+2.435/5+2.43
Apr 7vs PHI · L 5-1L19154.78958:041.54-2.461/2-2.46
Apr 5@ MTL · W 3-0W181801.00060:002.79+2.794/4+2.79
Mar 31@ NYR · L 4-1L23194.82660:003.70-0.300/3-0.30
Mar 28@ CAR · L 5-2L33294.87958:093.78-0.225/5-0.22

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 44 GP · 2,544 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.883

20th percentile

GSAx-15.1

7th percentile

GSAx/60-0.36

13th percentile

HDSV%.669

19th percentile

HD GSAx-3.3

27th percentile

5v5 GSAx-13.0

10th percentile

EV SV%.891

24th percentile

Quality start %39.5%

13th percentile

Really bad start %30.2%

23rd percentile

xGA/602.71

29th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleStruggling workhorse

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Markstrom is a regular starter whose results sit well below the NHL norm, with weak routine saves, 5-on-5 saves and consistency. His one clear bright spot is rebound control, which ranks well above most goalies.

Rebound controlHeavy starterBelow-par savesInconsistentShorthanded struggles
High-danger saves
33
Routine saves
17
Rebound control
74
5-on-5 saves
16
PK saves
30
Consistency
13
Workload
64

Strengths

  • Rebound control sits at the 74th percentile, so few quick follow-up shots.
  • Starter-level usage at the 64th percentile, with 43 starts in 44 games.

Watch-outs

  • Quality starts in only 40% of starts, 13th percentile for consistency.
  • Routine saves rank 17th percentile, part of -15.1 goals saved above expected.
  • 5-on-5 saves sit at the 16th percentile, and save % is just 0.883.

Similar style: Ville Husso (ANA), Calvin Pickard (MIN)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Where his Game Score comes from

2026-27 · 1 GP

Season total +2.4, or +2.43 per game.

Goaltending
+2.4

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGA
2006-07Swe-U18Brynas U1813—————2.050—27
2006-07Swe-Jr.Brynas Jr.1—————2.770—3
2006-07 (playoffs)Swe-U18Brynas U183—————1.861—6
2006-07 (playoffs)Swe-Jr.Brynas Jr.1—————9.760—4
2007-08Swe-U18Brynas U181—————3.000—3
2007-08Swe-Jr.Brynas Jr.22—————2.002—44
2007-08SwedenBrynas7—————3.120—22
2007-08Sweden-QBrynas9—————1.782—15
2007-08WJ18-ASweden6—42——3.041—18
2007-08 (playoffs)SHLBrynäs IF9————.9311.78———
2008-09SwedenBrynas35—————2.383—79
2008-09WJC-ASweden5—41——1.611—8
2008-09 (playoffs)SwedenBrynas1—————2.020—2
2009-10SwedenBrynas43—————2.015—85
2009-10WJC-ASweden5—41——2.210—11
2009-10WC-ASweden3—30—.9441.331724
2009-10 (playoffs)SwedenBrynas4—————3.210—12
2009-10 (playoffs)Swe-Jr.Brynas Jr.2—————3.030—6
2010-11NHLFlorida Panthers10010.8573.010142
2010-11AHLRochester37—1620—.9072.9811051108
2011-12NHLFlorida Panthers76241.9232.66022217
2011-12AHLSan Antonio32—1712—.9272.32197971
2011-12 (playoffs)AHLSan Antonio8—44—.9072.85027926
2012-13NHLFlorida Panthers23238141.9013.22068568
2012-13WC-ASweden3—21—.9341.580765
2012-13AHLSan Antonio33—1615—.9202.653108187
2013-14NHLFlorida Panthers129163.8743.52028536
2013-14NHLVancouver Canucks43120.8683.0107610
2013-14AHLSan Antonio29—1211—.9182.56287572
2014-15NHLVancouver Canucks32110.8793.090334
2014-15AHLUtica Comets32—2273.9341.88589559
2014-15 (playoffs)AHLUtica Comets23—12110.9252.11268251
2015-16NHLVancouver Canucks333013144.9152.73098884
2015-16WCSweden6—23—.8963.16018219
2015-16AHLUtica Comets2—102.9092.400555
2016-17NHLVancouver Canucks262310113.9102.63069262
2016-17WCupSweden1—10—.9641.000281
2017-18NHLVancouver Canucks605723267.9122.7121745154
2018-19NHLVancouver Canucks606028239.9122.7711896166
2018-19WCSweden2—11—.8434.000518
2019-20NHLVancouver Canucks434323164.9182.7521420117
2019-20 (playoffs)NHLVancouver Canucks1414860.9192.85149140
2020-21NHLCalgary Flames434322192.9042.6831161111
2021-22NHLCalgary Flames636337159.9222.2291754137
2021-22 (playoffs)NHLCalgary Flames1212570.9012.95135435
2022-23NHLCalgary Flames5958232112.8922.9211542166
2023-24NHLCalgary Flames484823232.9052.7821379131
2024-25NHLNew Jersey Devils494926166.9002.5041214121
2024-25WCSweden6—42—.8942.14211312
2024-25 (playoffs)NHLNew Jersey Devils55140.9112.78018016
2025-26NHLNew Jersey Devils444323191.8833.0711113130
2026-27NHLFlorida Panthers111001.0000.001150

Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.

Usage

Last game: @ SJS, Oct 1

Did not start last game (Akira Schmid did).

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average -0.24 per game over these 10.

Age curve

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 36, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 37, when the typical level is 99%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27FLA$6M5.8%
2027-28FLA$6M5.3%

UFA after 2027-28. M-NTC. $12M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).