PuckSleuth
Pavel Buchnevich89

St. Louis Blues · Left wing · Shoots L

Pavel Buchnevich

Age 31 · 6'2" · 202 lb · Born in Cherepovets, RUS

Cap hit

$8M

7.7% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31, then UFA

Clause

NTC

Surplus value

−$1.021M

vs. $6.979M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

17:11

PP 2:39 · PK 5:13

xGF%

94.2

5v5, +43 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.11

per game

Faceoff %

—

0 W · 1 L

Plus/minus

+2

Blocks 0 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 2
@ DAL · W 4-0
0000017:112:395:130-15010+2+0.11
Apr 16
@ UTA · W 5-3
1020114:420:550:000-13300+2+1.58
Apr 14
vs PIT · W 7-5
1020015:510:411:431-010010-1+0.97
Apr 13
vs MIN · W 6-3
1010117:074:361:161-05030+2+1.31
Apr 11
@ CHI · W 5-3
0120015:290:312:054-6100200+0.52

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,045 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%51.3%

65th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.3

64th percentile

HDCF%51.0%

62nd percentile

CF%49.7%

55th percentile

Relative CF%+2.0

75th percentile

FF%48.8%

45th percentile

GF%48.4%

45th percentile

CF/6055.1

46th percentile

CA/6055.9

66th percentile

ixG/601.14

66th percentile

Goals above expected+0.2

61st percentile

IPP60.0%

35th percentile

PDO100.0

54th percentile

OZS%52.9%

53rd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleSkilled playmaking winger

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Buchnevich is a creative passer who generates chances for others with smart playmaking, but he doesn't initiate attacks aggressively and lacks the physical engagement or forechecking intensity for a complete two-way game. His shot volume is modest, and he struggles to create high-speed scoring opportunities through rush plays.

PlaymakerPerimeter playerPass-first
Shooting volume
36
Playmaking
71
Zone entries(est.)
25
Forechecking
16
Physicality
14
Defensive impact
20
Puck management
64
Speed
22

Where he shoots from

Slot 57% · Mid-range 25% · Perimeter 18%(221 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • Excellent playmaking at 71st percentile creates scoring chances for teammates
  • Strong puck management at 64th percentile keeps possession through transitions
  • High-volume slot shots at 57% of unblocked attempts show positioning awareness

Watch-outs

  • Rush chances at 25th percentile shows difficulty generating fast-break scoring plays
  • Forechecking at 16th percentile limits his ability to win pucks in the offensive zone
  • Physicality at 14th percentile means minimal net-front presence or board play

Similar style: Gabe Perreault (NYR), Jaden Schwartz (COL)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 81 GP

Season total +47.2, or +0.58 per game.

Scoring
+37.8
Shooting
+10.7
5-on-5 goals
-0.5
Defense
-0.1
Penalty kill
-0.3
Physical play
+2.6
Puck battles
-2.0
Penalties
-0.6
Faceoffs
-0.5

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%
2016-17New York Rangers5011+100100100.012:17—
2019-20New York Rangers3000-16000050.018:0633.3
2021-22St. Louis Blues1211011-361200224.518:5555.6
2024-25St. Louis Blues7358+11413001421.420:3550.0
Career4 seasons2741620-2262600517.818:02—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Usage

Last game: @ DAL, Oct 2

Line 3 with Connor McMichael and Mason McTavish (5:11 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.62 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.5 mph
21st pct
20+ mph bursts
63
Hardest shot
88.9 mph
76th pct
Distance
234.8 mi
OZ time
42.9%
59th pct
DZ time
39.8%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 31, forwards typically produce 80% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 35, when the typical level is 56%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

5 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27STL$8M7.7%
2027-28STL$8M7.0%
2028-29STL$8M—
2029-30STL$8M—
2030-31STL$8M—

UFA after 2030-31. NTC. $40M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).