PuckSleuth
25St. Louis Blues · Defense · Shoots R
Brandon Carlo
Age 29 · 6'5" · 214 lb · Born in Colorado Springs, USA
Cap hit
$3.485M
15% retained by previous team
Term
1 yr
Through 2026-27, then UFA
Clause
M-NTC
Surplus value
+$233K
vs. $4.333M market estimate
Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source
2026-27 regular season
GP
1
Goals
0
Assists
0
0 primary
Points
0
0.00 per game
TOI/GP
15:27
PP 0:00 · PK 3:26
xGF%
65.6
5v5, +21.1 vs. last yr
Game Score
+0.12
per game, goals above average
Faceoff %
—
Plus/minus
0
Blocks 1 · Hits 1
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | G | A | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | PP | PK | FO | OZS% | GV | TK | +/- | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 @ DAL · W 4-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0:00 | 3:26 | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.12 |
| Apr 8 vs WSH · L 4-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:07 | 0:01 | 2:22 | — | 50 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.03 |
| Apr 4 @ LAK · OTL 7-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | 0:00 | 5:28 | — | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 |
| Apr 2 @ SJS · L 4-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:57 | 0:00 | 2:01 | — | 22 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.06 |
| Mar 30 @ ANA · W 5-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:50 | 0:00 | 4:37 | — | 60 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -0.11 |
GS = our Game Score, goals above average. FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.
Advanced metrics
5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 865 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen
14th percentile
48th percentile
49th percentile
7th percentile
42nd percentile
10th percentile
35th percentile
36th percentile
1st percentile
41st percentile
7th percentile
4th percentile
68th percentile
37th percentile
xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.
Play styleDefensive stay-at-home defenseman
Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26
Carlo is a physical, conservative defender who focuses on taking away space and moving the puck quickly rather than creating chances himself. He generates offense through rush chances but struggles to drive play offensively or impact defensively at elite levels.
- Shooting volume
- 48
- Playmaking
- 9
- Zone entries(est.)
- 76
- Forechecking
- 34
- Physicality
- 73
- Defensive impact
- 14
- Puck management
- 31
- Speed
- 38
Where he shoots from
Slot 3% · Mid-range 19% · Perimeter 78%(95 unblocked shots)
Strengths
- Physical play at 73rd percentile helps him control the blue line and win battles
- Rush chance generation at 76th percentile creates transition opportunities
- Positioning and size compensate for average defensive impact
Watch-outs
- Playmaking at 9th percentile limits his ability to orchestrate offense from the back
- Defensive impact at 14th percentile suggests limited high-danger chance prevention
- Forechecking at 34th percentile means he's not pushing play into opponent territory often
Similar style: Alec Regula (EDM), Erik Gudbranson (CBJ)
Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 55 GP · goals above average
Season total -9.2 goals, or -0.17 per game.
- Even strength offense
- -0.2
- Even strength defense
- -1.5
- Penalty kill
- +0.1
- Finishing
- -2.5
- Playmaking
- -3.0
- Penalties
- -2.1
Game Score adds up a player's impact in goals compared with an average player given the same ice time: his share of expected goals for and against at even strength, on the power play, and on the penalty kill, plus finishing (goals minus expected goals), primary assists, penalties drawn and taken, and faceoffs. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
Career stats
From the NHL's player records
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | GWG | SOG | S% | TOI | FO% | GS/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | Boston Bruins | 82 | 6 | 10 | 16 | +9 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 6.8 | 20:49 | — | — |
| 2017-18 | Boston Bruins | 76 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0.0 | 19:14 | 100.0 | — |
| 2018-19 | Boston Bruins | 72 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +22 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 1.7 | 20:55 | 100.0 | — |
| 2019-20 | Boston Bruins | 67 | 4 | 15 | 19 | +16 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 3.6 | 20:29 | — | — |
| 2020-21 | Boston Bruins | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 7.0 | 18:43 | — | — |
| 2021-22 | Boston Bruins | 79 | 6 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 4.8 | 19:42 | — | — |
| 2022-23 | Boston Bruins | 75 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +44 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 3.2 | 18:50 | — | -0.04 |
| 2023-24 | Boston Bruins | 76 | 4 | 10 | 14 | +23 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 5.1 | 19:54 | — | -0.05 |
| 2024-25 | Boston Bruins | 63 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 1.6 | 18:48 | — | -0.11 |
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 20 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0.0 | 19:13 | — | -0.11 |
| 2025-26 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 55 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +4 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 0.0 | 19:22 | — | -0.17 |
| 2026-27 | St. Louis Blues | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 15:27 | — | +0.12 |
| Career | 11 seasons | 693 | 29 | 90 | 119 | +137 | 396 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 875 | 3.3 | 19:45 | — |
Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.
Usage
Last game: @ DAL, Oct 2
Pair 1 with Cam Fowler (10:31 together at 5-on-5)
From the NHL's shift chart.
Latest news
Headlines from news outlets and team blogs
- NHL Rumours: Larkin Gets Booed, Carlo’s Kneeing Major & Bobrovsky Apologizes
thehockeywriters.com · Oct 3
- Stars' Roope Hintz Gives Injury Update After Brandon Carlo's Ejection for Knee-on-Knee Hit
Yahoo Sports · Oct 3
- Stars’ Roope Hintz Gives Injury Update After Brandon Carlo’s Ejection for Knee-on-Knee Hit
Athlon Sports · Oct 3
- Carlo suspension is the last thing Blues need right now
Bleedin' Blue · Oct 3
- Former Maple Leafs defenseman facing major suspension after wild incident
editorinleaf.com · Oct 3
- Blues’ Alexey Toropchenko leaves game with injury, Brandon Carlo ejected
Daily Faceoff · Oct 3
- Blues' Carlo ejected for kneeing Stars' Hintz
Sportsnet.ca · Oct 3
- Brandon Carlo on scoring in Stanley Cup Finals the day son was born
BVM Sports · Sep 30
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Recent Game Scores
Last 10 games · goals above average
Average -0.19 per game over these 10.
Skating · NHL EDGE
2025-26, as of Oct 2
- Top speed
- 21.7 mph
- 53rd pct
- 20+ mph bursts
- 15
- Hardest shot
- 93.4 mph
- 70th pct
- Distance
- 141.3 mi
- OZ time
- 38.4%
- 5th pct
- DZ time
- 43.9%
Age curve
NHL defensemen · production index
At 29, defensemen typically produce 93% of their peak (age 24).
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Contract by season
1 season left
| Season | Team | Cap hit | % of cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | STL | $3.485M | 3.4% |
UFA after 2026-27. M-NTC. $4.1M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).