PuckSleuth
Pontus Holmberg29

Tampa Bay Lightning · Right wing · Shoots L

Pontus Holmberg

Age 27 · 6'0" · 198 lb · Born in Vasteras, SWE

Cap hit

$1.55M

1.5% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.532M

vs. $3.082M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

15:12

PP 2:12 · PK 0:01

Plus/minus

-1

Hits

1

Blocks 0

PIM

2

Game Score

-0.06

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 3
vs WSH · W 3-1
0000015:251:030:021-080100+0.03
Oct 1
@ NYR · L 5-1
0031014:593:200:00—3330-1-0.16
Apr 6
@ BUF · L 4-2
000118:211:070:00—5000-2-0.41
Apr 4
vs BOS · W 3-1
0020013:200:000:00—20000+0.18
Apr 2
vs PIT · W 6-3
0010011:330:000:00—0110+0.13

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 892 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%55.8%

89th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.8

69th percentile

HDCF%59.2%

91st percentile

CF%54.3%

87th percentile

Relative CF%+0.4

57th percentile

FF%53.5%

83rd percentile

GF%49.2%

49th percentile

CF/6056.2

54th percentile

CA/6047.4

97th percentile

ixG/600.93

48th percentile

Goals above expected-2.8

22nd percentile

IPP64.5%

51st percentile

PDO98.9

39th percentile

OZS%41.8%

22nd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive-minded forward

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Holmberg is a low-volume, defense-first winger who excels at shutting down opponents and managing the puck despite limited offensive creation. He generates chances primarily from the slot but rarely sets up linemates or drives zone entries.

Defensive anchorSlot threatGrind-it-out
Shooting volume
43
Playmaking
29
Zone entries(est.)
39
Forechecking
43
Physicality
47
Defensive impact
93
Puck management
40
Speed
70

Where he shoots from

Slot 54% · Mid-range 31% · Perimeter 15%(151 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 93rd percentile defensive impact, elite at limiting opponent scoring chances
  • 70th percentile speed helps him recover and support the backcheck
  • 54% of unblocked shots from the slot shows he positions for scoring opportunities

Watch-outs

  • 29th percentile playmaking, rarely creates chances for others
  • 39th percentile rush chances, limited ability to drive play up-ice independently
  • 43rd percentile shooting volume limits his goal-scoring despite good positioning

Similar style: Rutger McGroarty, Nick Paul (TOR)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIM
2013-14U16 ElitVästerås IK U1628132336—2
2013-14 (playoffs)TV-PuckenVästmanland5000—0
2014-15J18 ElitVästerås IK J184224-20
2014-15J18 Div.1Västerås IK Ungdom J1811111324—2
2014-15U16 ElitVästerås IK U1627194665—8
2014-15 (playoffs)TV-PuckenVästmanland1171118—2
2015-16J18 ElitVästerås IK J183292534—8
2015-16 (playoffs)J18 ElitVästerås IK J18220200
2016-17J18 ElitVästerås IK J18891120—6
2016-17J20 SuperElitVästerås IK J204561218-1010
2016-17J18 AllsvenskanVästerås IK J182000-10
2016-17 (playoffs)J18 AllsvenskanVästerås IK J18844800
2017-18J20 SuperElitVästerås IK J20125611+44
2017-18HockeyEttanVästerås IK3671320+1210
2017-18SHLVäxjö Lakers HC2000+20
2017-18 (playoffs)HockeyEttanVästerås IK8246+42
2018-19SHLVäxjö Lakers HC473710-212
2018-19Champions HLVäxjö Lakers HC6022+34
2018-19WJC-20Sweden U205000+20
2018-19 (playoffs)SHLVäxjö Lakers HC7000-22
2019-20SHLVäxjö Lakers HC5271017+1814
2020-21SHLVäxjö Lakers HC4591423+916
2020-21EHTSweden3123+22
2020-21WCSweden200000
2020-21 (playoffs)SHLVäxjö Lakers HC147714+108
2021-22SHLVäxjö Lakers HC46113041+544
2021-22Champions HLVäxjö Lakers HC8134-30
2021-22EHTSweden6112+12
2021-22OGSweden6022+10
2021-22AHLToronto Marlies6224-12
2021-22 (playoffs)SHLVäxjö Lakers HC4011-32
2022-23NHLToronto Maple Leafs375813018
2022-23AHLToronto Marlies38101222-718
2022-23 (playoffs)AHLToronto Marlies762802
2023-24NHLToronto Maple Leafs5471017+1118
2023-24AHLToronto Marlies11641004
2023-24WCSweden10066+60
2023-24 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs7000-32
2024-25NHLToronto Maple Leafs6871219+427
2024-25 (playoffs)NHLToronto Maple Leafs12011-44
2025-26NHLTampa Bay Lightning70111122+131
2025-26OGSweden5000-22
2026-27NHLTampa Bay Lightning2000-12

Every league he has played in, from the NHL's records, regular season and playoffs.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.19 per game over these 10.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.43 per game

2025-26 · 70 GP

Season total +29.8, or +0.43 per game.

Scoring
+17.7
Shooting
+6.8
5-on-5 goals
-0.1
Defense
+1.8
Penalty kill
+0.2
Physical play
+2.9
Puck battles
-1.7
Penalties
+2.5
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.9 mph
82nd pct
20+ mph bursts
98
Hardest shot
84.9 mph
50th pct
Distance
159.4 mi
OZ time
41.7%
46th pct
DZ time
39.0%

Usage

Last game: vs WSH, Oct 3

Line 2 with Zemgus Girgensons and Ilya Mikheyev (8:11 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

At 27: 96% of peak

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 27, forwards typically produce 96% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

1 season left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27TBL$1.55M1.5%

UFA after 2026-27. $1.55M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).