PuckSleuth
Pontus Holmberg29

Tampa Bay Lightning · Right wing · Shoots L

Pontus Holmberg

Age 27 · 6'0" · 198 lb · Born in Vasteras, SWE

Cap hit

$1.55M

1.5% of $104M cap

Term

1 yr

Through 2026-27, then UFA

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.569M

vs. $3.119M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

14:59

PP 3:20 · PK 0:00

xGF%

24.7

5v5, -31.1 vs. last yr

Game Score

-0.16

per game

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

-1

Blocks 0 · Hits 1

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 1
@ NYR · L 5-1
0031014:593:200:00—3330-1-0.16
Apr 6
@ BUF · L 4-2
000118:211:070:00—5000-2-0.41
Apr 4
vs BOS · W 3-1
0020013:200:000:00—20000+0.18
Apr 2
vs PIT · W 6-3
0010011:330:000:00—0110+0.13
Mar 31
vs MTL · L 4-1
0031011:150:090:00—60100+0.61

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 892 min · percentile vs. NHL forwards

xGF%55.8%

89th percentile

Relative xGF%+1.8

69th percentile

HDCF%59.2%

91st percentile

CF%54.3%

87th percentile

Relative CF%+0.4

57th percentile

FF%53.5%

83rd percentile

GF%49.2%

49th percentile

CF/6056.2

54th percentile

CA/6047.4

97th percentile

ixG/600.93

48th percentile

Goals above expected-2.8

22nd percentile

IPP64.5%

51st percentile

PDO98.9

39th percentile

OZS%41.8%

22nd percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive-minded forward

Trait percentiles vs. NHL wingers · 2025-26

Holmberg is a low-volume, defense-first winger who excels at shutting down opponents and managing the puck despite limited offensive creation. He generates chances primarily from the slot but rarely sets up linemates or drives zone entries.

Defensive anchorSlot threatGrind-it-out
Shooting volume
43
Playmaking
29
Zone entries(est.)
39
Forechecking
43
Physicality
47
Defensive impact
93
Puck management
40
Speed
70

Where he shoots from

Slot 54% · Mid-range 31% · Perimeter 15%(151 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 93rd percentile defensive impact, elite at limiting opponent scoring chances
  • 70th percentile speed helps him recover and support the backcheck
  • 54% of unblocked shots from the slot shows he positions for scoring opportunities

Watch-outs

  • 29th percentile playmaking, rarely creates chances for others
  • 39th percentile rush chances, limited ability to drive play up-ice independently
  • 43rd percentile shooting volume limits his goal-scoring despite good positioning

Similar style: Rutger McGroarty, Nick Paul (TOR)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 70 GP

Season total +29.8, or +0.43 per game.

Scoring
+17.7
Shooting
+6.8
5-on-5 goals
-0.1
Defense
+1.8
Penalty kill
+0.2
Physical play
+2.9
Puck battles
-1.7
Penalties
+2.5
Faceoffs
-0.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%
2023-24Toronto Maple Leafs7000-32000060.011:4256.0
2024-25Toronto Maple Leafs12011-440000110.012:4350.0
Career2 seasons19011-760000170.012:21—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.

Usage

Last game: @ NYR, Oct 1

Line 4 with Zemgus Girgensons and Jeffrey Viel (4:59 together at 5-on-5) · PP2

From the NHL's shift chart.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.33 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
22.9 mph
82nd pct
20+ mph bursts
98
Hardest shot
84.9 mph
50th pct
Distance
159.4 mi
OZ time
41.7%
46th pct
DZ time
39.0%

Age curve

NHL forwards · production index

202937

At 27, forwards typically produce 96% of their peak (age 24).

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

1 season left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27TBL$1.55M1.5%

UFA after 2026-27. $1.55M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).