PuckSleuth
30Cap hit
$2.2M
2.1% of $104M cap
Term
2 yrs
Through 2027-28, then UFA
Clause
None
Surplus value
−$844K
vs. $1.356M market estimate
Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source
2025-26 regular season
GP
33
29 starts
Record
14-11-5
SV%
.870
GAA
3.12
Shots against
744
GSAx
-14.8
goals saved above expected
Game Score
-0.45
per game
Game log
Last 5 games · NHL API
| Game | Dec | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | xGA | GSAx | HD saves | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14vs MTL · W 4-2 | W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 59:48 | 2.53 | +0.53 | 3/4 | +0.53 |
| Apr 9@ DET · L 6-3 | Relief | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 35:04 | 0.85 | -1.15 | 0/1 | -1.15 |
| Apr 2vs DET · L 4-2 | L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 57:23 | 1.95 | -2.05 | 4/4 | -2.05 |
| Mar 29vs DAL · W 2-1 | W | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 63:27 | 2.39 | +1.39 | 2/2 | +1.39 |
| Mar 26vs CHI · W 5-1 | W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 59:49 | 1.71 | +0.71 | 2/2 | +0.71 |
Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.
Advanced metrics
2025-26 · 33 GP · 1,867 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies
1st percentile
10th percentile
7th percentile
51st percentile
39th percentile
6th percentile
1st percentile
14th percentile
10th percentile
17th percentile
Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.
Play styleStruggling rebound controller
Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26
Ersson's numbers show a goalie who limits second chances and holds up well when his team is shorthanded, but gives up too many goals on routine shots and at 5-on-5. His results night to night have been shaky, with a save percentage of 0.870 and 14.8 goals below expected.
- High-danger saves
- 37
- Routine saves
- 7
- Rebound control
- 80
- 5-on-5 saves
- 6
- PK saves
- 61
- Consistency
- 14
- Workload
- 37
Strengths
- Rebound control ranks in the 80th percentile, so few shots follow his saves.
- PK save percentage sits in the 61st percentile while shorthanded.
Watch-outs
- Routine saves rank in the 7th percentile, well below most NHL goalies.
- 5-on-5 saves sit at the 6th percentile, near the bottom of the league.
- Quality starts in only 41% of starts, the 14th percentile for consistency.
Similar style: Ville Husso (ANA), Jacob Markstrom (FLA)
Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.
Where his Game Score comes from
2025-26 · 33 GP
Season total -14.8, or -0.45 per game.
- Goaltending
- -14.8
Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.
Career stats
From the NHL's player records
No NHL playoff games yet.
Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team.
Latest news
Headlines from news outlets and team blogs
No news about him in the last 30 days.
Sentiment & chatter
Fans
—
Beat writers
—
Media
—
Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.
Recent Game Scores
Last 10 games · goals above average
Average -0.22 per game over these 10.
Age curve
NHL goalies · production index
At 26, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 27, when the typical level is 100%.
From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.
Contract by season
2 seasons left
| Season | Team | Cap hit | % of cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | OTT | $2.2M | 2.1% |
| 2027-28 | OTT | $2.2M | 1.9% |
UFA after 2027-28. $4.4M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).