PuckSleuth
Jordan Spence10

Ottawa Senators · Defense · Shoots R

Jordan Spence

Age 25 · 5'11" · 188 lb · Born in Manly, AUS

Cap hit

$5M

4.8% of $104M cap

Term

5 yrs

Through 2030-31

Clause

None

Surplus value

+$1.073M

vs. $6.073M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

1

Goals

0

0.0% shooting

Assists

0

0 primary

Points

0

0.00 per game

TOI/GP

22:30

PP 0:08 · PK 2:27

xGF%

62.9

5v5, +0.4 vs. last yr

Game Score

+0.01

per game

Faceoff %

—

Plus/minus

0

Blocks 0 · Hits 0

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameGASOGHITBLKTOIPPPKFOOZS%GVTK+/-GS
Oct 3
@ TOR · W 3-2
0020022:300:082:27—0200+0.01
Apr 25
vs CAR · L 4-2
0010317:000:140:37—3330-1-0.30
Apr 23
vs CAR · L 2-1
0003120:290:550:04—5002-1+0.28
Apr 20
@ CAR · OTL 3-2
0033339:010:160:47—60410+0.35
Apr 18
@ CAR · L 2-0
0001123:400:210:48—1720-1-0.14

GS = our Game Score (credit for everything he did; goals and assists count most). FO = faceoffs won-lost. OZS% = share of his 5v5 offensive and defensive zone faceoff starts that were in the offensive zone. GV/TK = giveaways/takeaways.

Advanced metrics

5v5 unless noted · 2025-26 · 1,202 min · percentile vs. NHL defensemen

xGF%62.5%

100th percentile

Relative xGF%+9.6

98th percentile

HDCF%62.1%

96th percentile

CF%60.3%

99th percentile

Relative CF%+11.0

100th percentile

FF%60.7%

100th percentile

GF%57.4%

84th percentile

CF/6068.7

95th percentile

CA/6045.2

100th percentile

ixG/600.34

82nd percentile

Goals above expected+0.2

55th percentile

IPP44.8%

83rd percentile

PDO99.3

37th percentile

OZS%69.1%

98th percentile

xGF% is his team's share of 5v5 expected goals while he was on the ice, from our own expected goals model; HDCF% counts only high-danger chances (xG of 0.15 or more). IPP is the share of his team's 5v5 goals while he was on the ice that he scored or assisted on. Relative stats compare him with his team when he was off the ice. Goals above expected and ixG/60 use his own shots at all strengths. PDO and OZS% describe luck and deployment, so their bars are grey.

Play styleDefensive anchor

Trait percentiles vs. NHL defensemen · 2025-26

Spence is a shot-generating defender who controls the game through exceptional defensive positioning and active shooting. He thrives on the back end but lacks the forechecking intensity and physicality to generate offense through play initiation.

high-volume shooterdefensive wallperimeter oriented
Shooting volume
89
Playmaking
55
Zone entries(est.)
14
Forechecking
31
Physicality
20
Defensive impact
89
Puck management
50
Speed
55

Where he shoots from

Slot 10% · Mid-range 26% · Perimeter 64%(185 unblocked shots)

Strengths

  • 89th percentile shooting volume, generating 185 unblocked shots from deep
  • 89th percentile defensive impact, anchoring play at 62.5% xGF share
  • 55th percentile playmaking keeps offensive chances moving once established

Watch-outs

  • 14th percentile rush chances suggest difficulty entering the zone with possession
  • 20th percentile physicality limits his board play and physical presence
  • 31st percentile forechecking means limited ability to generate offense off the backcheck

Similar style: Theo Lindstein (STL), Ivan Provorov (CBJ)

Built from play-by-play, shift data, and NHL EDGE tracking. Zone entries is an estimate (rush chances while he is on the ice) until tracking data is added.

Where his Game Score comes from

2025-26 · 73 GP

Season total +32.8, or +0.45 per game.

Scoring
+20.6
Shooting
+8.1
5-on-5 goals
+2.3
Defense
+2.4
Penalty kill
+0.1
Physical play
+4.0
Puck battles
-2.6
Penalties
-2.1

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGGWGSOGS%TOIFO%GS/GP
2021-22Los Angeles Kings24268020201414.919:45——
2022-23Los Angeles Kings6011+10000060.014:00—+0.35
2023-24Los Angeles Kings7122224+5121600802.514:26—+0.37
2024-25Los Angeles Kings7942428+23160500864.716:47—+0.41
2025-26Ottawa Senators7372431+152203011086.518:44—+0.45
2026-27Ottawa Senators100000000020.022:30—+0.01
Career6 seasons254157792+4452116023234.616:55—

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GS/GP is our Game Score per game.

Latest news

Headlines from news outlets and team blogs

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 10 games · goals above average

Average +0.29 per game over these 10.

Skating · NHL EDGE

2025-26, as of Oct 2

Top speed
21.5 mph
43rd pct
20+ mph bursts
47
Hardest shot
94.3 mph
74th pct
Distance
196.6 mi
OZ time
47.6%
99th pct
DZ time
35.3%

Usage

Last game: @ TOR, Oct 3

Pair 1 with Thomas Chabot (8:43 together at 5-on-5)

From the NHL's shift chart.

Age curve

NHL defensemen · production index

202937

At 25, defensemen typically produce 100% of their peak (age 24). His contract runs through age 29, when the typical level is 93%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

5 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27OTT$5M4.8%
2027-28OTT$5M4.4%
2028-29OTT$5M—
2029-30OTT$5M—
2030-31OTT$5M—

$25M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).