PuckSleuth
Jacob Markstrom25

Florida Panthers · Goalie · Catches L

Jacob Markstrom

Age 36 · 6'6" · 207 lb · Born in Gavle, SWE

Cap hit

$6M

5.8% of $104M cap

Term

2 yrs

Through 2027-28, then UFA

Clause

M-NTC

Surplus value

−$3.502M

vs. $2.498M market estimate

Confirmed by the public signing announcement · source

2026-27 regular season

GP

2

2 starts

Record

1-0-1

SV%

.917

GAA

1.40

Shots against

36

GSAx

+1.8

goals saved above expected

Game Score

+0.92

per game

Game log

Last 5 games · NHL API

GameDecSASVGASV%TOIxGAGSAxHD savesGS
Oct 4@ ANA · OTL 3-2OTL21183.85763:432.42-0.581/2-0.58
Sep 29@ CAR · W 1-0W151501.00064:552.41+2.415/5+2.41

Dec = decision (W, L, OTL; ND = started, no decision). HD saves = high-danger shots on goal stopped. GS = our Game Score.

Advanced metrics

2025-26 · 44 GP · 2,544 min · percentile vs. NHL goalies

SV%.883

20th percentile

GSAx-15.1

7th percentile

GSAx/60-0.36

13th percentile

HDSV%.669

19th percentile

HD GSAx-3.3

27th percentile

5v5 GSAx-13.0

10th percentile

EV SV%.891

24th percentile

Quality start %39.5%

13th percentile

Really bad start %30.2%

23rd percentile

xGA/602.71

29th percentile

Expected goals come from our own model and rate every unblocked shot he faced by its chance of going in. High-danger shots are those worth 0.15 expected goals or more. Percentiles compare him with goalies who played 600 minutes that season. xGA/60 shows how hard his workload was, so its bar is grey.

Play styleStruggling workhorse

Trait percentiles vs. NHL goalies · 2025-26

Markstrom is a regular starter whose results sit well below the NHL norm, with weak routine saves, 5-on-5 saves and consistency. His one clear bright spot is rebound control, which ranks well above most goalies.

Rebound controlHeavy starterBelow-par savesInconsistentShorthanded struggles
High-danger saves
33
Routine saves
17
Rebound control
74
5-on-5 saves
16
PK saves
30
Consistency
13
Workload
64

Strengths

  • Rebound control sits at the 74th percentile, so few quick follow-up shots.
  • Starter-level usage at the 64th percentile, with 43 starts in 44 games.

Watch-outs

  • Quality starts in only 40% of starts, 13th percentile for consistency.
  • Routine saves rank 17th percentile, part of -15.1 goals saved above expected.
  • 5-on-5 saves sit at the 16th percentile, and save % is just 0.883.

Similar style: Ville Husso (ANA), Calvin Pickard (MIN)

Built from play-by-play and our expected goals model, compared with goalies who have 600+ minutes in the season.

Career stats

From the NHL's player records

SeasonTeamGPGSWLOTLSV%GAASOSAGAGSAx
2010-11Florida Panthers10010.8573.010142—
2011-12Florida Panthers76241.9232.66022217—
2012-13Florida Panthers23238141.9013.22068568—
2013-14Florida Panthers129163.8743.52028536—
2013-14Vancouver Canucks43120.8683.0107610—
2014-15Vancouver Canucks32110.8793.090334—
2015-16Vancouver Canucks333013144.9152.73098884—
2016-17Vancouver Canucks262310113.9102.63069262—
2017-18Vancouver Canucks605723267.9122.7121745154—
2018-19Vancouver Canucks606028239.9122.7711896166—
2019-20Vancouver Canucks434323164.9182.7521420117—
2020-21Calgary Flames434322192.9042.6831161111—
2021-22Calgary Flames636337159.9222.2291754137—
2022-23Calgary Flames5958232112.8922.9211542166-5.7
2023-24Calgary Flames484823232.9052.7821379131+14.6
2024-25New Jersey Devils494926166.9002.5041214121-0.1
2025-26New Jersey Devils444323191.8833.0711113130-15.1
2026-27Florida Panthers22101.9171.401363+1.8
Career17 seasons58056226523165.9072.7326162551519

Seasons traded mid-year show one row per team. GSAx (goals saved above expected) is ours, from our expected goals model.

Sentiment & chatter

Fans

—

Beat writers

—

Media

—

Fan, beat writer, and media scores, the 14-day trade chatter chart, and the latest mentions appear once sentiment scoring is switched on. Mentions are already being collected.

Recent Game Scores

Last 2 games · goals above average

Average +0.92 per game over these 2.

Where his Game Score comes from

+0.92 per game

2026-27 · 2 GP

Season total +1.8, or +0.92 per game.

Goaltending
+1.8

Game Score gives credit for everything a player does in a game. Goals (1.0) and assists (0.7 primary, 0.5 secondary) count most; shots, blocks, hits, takeaways, penalties drawn, faceoff wins, killing penalties, and holding down the other team's chances add to it. Only mistakes subtract: goals against at 5-on-5, giveaways, penalties taken, faceoff losses, and allowing more chances than an average player would. A player who is there to defend or kill penalties is not marked down for not scoring. Goalies are measured by goals saved above expected.

Usage

Last 3 games this season

Started in net last game.

From the NHL's shift charts, averaged over this season's last 10 games.

Age curve

At 36: 100% of peak

NHL goalies · production index

202937

At 36, goalies typically produce 100% of their peak (age 26). His contract runs through age 37, when the typical level is 99%.

From 24 seasons of NHL results, adjusted for league scoring and save percentage in each era. Shaded bars are the seasons left on his contract.

Contract by season

2 seasons left

SeasonTeamCap hit% of cap
2026-27FLA$6M5.8%
2027-28FLA$6M5.3%

UFA after 2027-28. M-NTC. $12M in cap hits left. % of cap uses each season's ceiling where the league has set one ($104M this season, $113.5M in 2027-28).